Nov 15 2008
AAII Portfolio Analysis
In the November issue of the American Association of Individual Investors Journal (AAII) James B. Cloonan provides an interesting portfolio built around the follow ETFs. They are: FDM (16%), PRF (16%), RFV (16%), RZV (16%), ICF (16%), GWX (5%), RWX (5%), VEU (5%), and VWO (5%). I’m very familiar with ICF, RWX, VEU, and VWO, but the rest are ETFs I have not used or checked their expense ratios.
What I did was run a QPP on this portfolio and here are the results.
- The projected annual return is 11.8%. I assume this to be only for the next year. I want this to be at least 10% and preferably 12% or higher. Eleven percent is acceptable.
- The Standard Deviation is 15.5%. I prefer this to be lower than 15%, so it is close.
- The Diversification Metric is 49% or an acceptable figure.
- The Portfolio Autocorrelation is 47.2% or a tad on the high side. I find it difficult to pull this number into the lower figures so this number is acceptable.
A number of these ETFs have a low correlation with the S&P 500, a desirable feature.
Before purchasing any ETFs, be sure to check on the expenses and compare them with what Vanguard charges as Vanguard has the lowest fees.
Lowell Herr
Photograph: Elan Gallery - West Linn, Oregon
Similar QPP analysis is provided for several portfolios on Premium Content. Subscription is $6.99 per month.
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